Market memory

When current signals align, automatically search platform history for matching patterns. "Last time these conditions held was [date]. ARGUS predicted [X]. Actual: [Y]." Gets more valuable over time.

Memory size

2,481

indexed pattern-vector pairs

Match precision

0.81

avg cosine ≥0.85 → validated alignment

Active matches

live signal-pattern hits this week

MATCHmatched on signal vector cosine 0.8712 Oct 2024

Current pattern

Brent $86/bbl + TTF €38/MWh + Nordic insider net flow +€48m + Suez transits down

Historical analog

H-0612 · Equinor outperforms OBX by 3.5% in 30d

OUTCOME — Equinor +4.1% vs OBX +0.6% over 30d (validated +3.5%).

Accuracy at the time: 0.74

MATCHmatched on signal vector cosine 0.8728 Nov 2018

Current pattern

Bond-equity corr flipped positive + vol regime elevated + factor rotation to quality

Historical analog

H-0021 · Defensive sectors outperform momentum 60d

OUTCOME — Defensives +6.4% vs momentum -2.1% over 60d.

Accuracy at the time: 0.81

MATCHmatched on signal vector cosine 0.8704 Aug 2022

Current pattern

PLA Taiwan ADIZ incursions >60/wk + semi tape-out windows

Historical analog

H-0254 · Nordic 5G equipment underperforms 8w

OUTCOME — ERIC + NOKIA -4.8% vs sector flat (validated).

Accuracy at the time: 0.69

MATCHmatched on signal vector cosine 0.8719 Sept 2022

Current pattern

Norwegian hydro reservoir levels <60% + power forward up + smelter contracts repricing

Historical analog

H-0298 · Norsk Hydro underperforms LME ALU by 6% in 45d

OUTCOME — NHY -8.2% vs LME ALU +1.4% (validated +9.6%).

Accuracy at the time: 0.78