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War Room/Time Machine
War Room · Time Machine

Replay historical crises

"If your current portfolio existed during the 2022 Ukraine invasion, here's what would have happened." Plays forward day-by-day with AEGIS detections, ARGUS predictions, P&L, and alerts.

Historical periods
Replaying

Russian invasion of Ukraine

Day 14 of 60 · realised drawdown peak -12.4%
D-0 24 Feb 2022D-30D-60 15 Apr 2022
Portfolio P&L
-2.89%
AEGIS events detected
4
Alerts fired
2
ARGUS hypotheses generated
2
Validated correctly
1
Cascade nodes triggered
28
Timeline of events as they would have unfolded
  • D+0HIGH
    AEGIS detects shipping disruption · severity 0.78
    AIS-derived ship transit data anomaly. Notify rule "Nordic shipping cascade".
  • D+3CRITICAL
    AEGIS detects sanctions escalation · severity 0.91
    18th EU sanctions package adopted. 4 cascade nodes triggered.
  • D+6HIGH
    ARGUS hypothesizes Nordic energy outperformance · 0.73
    Insider net flow + dark pool z-score aligned. Hash issued.
  • D+9MEDIUM
    COMPLY flags 1 Article 9 fund · climate FV delta crossed threshold
    Annex II reporting update queued.
Powerful sales demo: "What if our system had been live then?"

The Time Machine replays your current portfolio against historical conditions. AEGIS detection logic, ARGUS hypothesis generation, COMPLY classification rules — all applied retroactively. Useful for institutional sales conversations and for stress-validation against your CIO's "show me 2008" question.

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